The threat of a commercial real estate market crash is hanging over the already fragile U.S. economy.
About $1.5 trillion in commercial mortgage debt is due by the end of 2025, but steeper borrowing costs, coupled with tighter credit conditions and a decline in property values brought on by remote work, have increased the risk of default.
Fitch Ratings already estimated that 35% — or $5.8 billion — of pooled securities commercial mortgages coming due between April and December 2023 will not be able to be refinanced.
Read More : Impending Commercial Real Estate Crash Casts Shadow on US Economy